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BUY LOW & SELL HIGH
WEEK 13

BUY! BUY! BUY!
Chris Redman- Quarterback- Atlanta Falcons
Things didn't seem like they could get any worse in Hotlanta after Michael Turner sprained his ankle in Week Ten and then subsequently aggravated the injury in Week 12. However, when Matt Ryan went down with a toe injury (which should cause him to miss multiple weeks and possibly the fantasy playoffs) during that same game, owners opined that the Atlanta offense would be toast. I would agree with them, but I just plain hate being wrong.
Jason Snelling and Jerious Norwood should be able to carry the load in Turner's absence. Taking over for Ryan is Chris Redman, the well-traveled veteran and, while he does not have Ryan's talent, it's a mistake to underestimate him simply because of that fact. When he finished the 2007-08 season for the Falcons, he threw ten touchdowns in five games, averaged 215 passing yards per contest and showed great chemistry with Roddy White. Now, in addition to White, he also has All-World tight end Tony Gonzalez to throw to, easing his load. Both Norwood and Snelling can catch the ball as well, giving Redman further options to succeed.
He has a somewhat daunting schedule ahead of him if he plays out the string with games against Philadelphia, New Orleans and the Jets, but you could certainly do worse for an emergency option.
Donald Brown- Running Back- Indianapolis Colts
I've played in the same dynasty league for almost seven years now. There's one guy who, back in the inaugural draft, selected Peyton Manning to be his franchise quarterback. Since that time, his team has contended every year and made it to the championship round three times. However, his trophy case remains empty as he came up short on all three occasions...
There's an excellent reason for this as Manning routinely tears up the league during the season, helps to get the Colts in an advantageous real-life position and then ends up playing only part of Week 16 so he can rest for the NFL playoffs. Great for Indianapolis, not so great for his fantasy owners as this poor guy has found out multiple times to his chagrin (well, I don't really feel all that badly for him as I was the one who smoked him two out of those three years).
Colts' coach Jim Caldwell has already said that he is not planning on deviating from this tradition, so it's a safe bet that, unless the team is going to try for an undefeated season, the playing time of their starters will slowly be scaled back as the fantasy playoffs approach. They will be especially concerned with the health of lead running back Joseph Addai, who has proven to be fragile in years past. That means that Brown, the first round pick from this year's draft, is almost certain to play a big role in the remaining games. He's a strong runner with soft hands who fits in well with the Colts' schemes.
He's available in far too many leagues. Put him on your bench for now and have the last laugh later.
Vincent Jackson- Wide Receiver- San Diego Chargers
The trade deadlines in most leagues have passed, but, if you play in a league where you can still deal, there's a major heist to be pulled. I love Trade Deadline day almost as much as Christmas morning. It's that wonderful time of the season where some owners get desperate and fail to evaluate their talent correctly. For instance, they might think that running back who had a great Week 10 will continue to have success even though he doesn't have the track record or the schedule to suggest it. That same owner might also take a look at one of the studs that he drafted who hasn't performed well lately and figures that he should take what he can get for him.
Vincent Jackson falls into that latter category. His past three games have been staggeringly underwhelming. He has recorded a grand total of seven receptions, 93 receiving yards and zero touchdowns. There are a number of reasons for the drop off, but this is one player you have to look beyond the numbers because his potential and his talent warrant that you do so. His next four games are downright tasty from a fantasy perspective: Cleveland, Dallas, Cincinnati and Tennessee. There's almost no chance that he doesn't rebound against these teams and post those awesome numbers that his owners are used to seeing from him.
He's not on the waiver wire and you'll have to give up plenty for him, even with his recent anemic stats. Do it regardless and watch him blow the competition away.
SELL! SELL! SELL!
Ryan Fitzpatrick-Quarterback- Buffalo Bills
Harvard's Ryan Fitzpatrick is riding a tremendous high right now. His past two games have seen him throw for 543 yards, add 55 rushing yards and toss two touchdowns for good measure. He has been particularly prolific with the seemingly revitalized Terrell Owens and looks to be in complete control of the Buffalo offense. Okay...great. I still say that Fitzpatrick is about to prove my maxim that Harvard men belong in the boardroom, not the huddle.
If you own him, you need to sell him fast. On Thursday, he takes on a New York Jets defense that just got their confidence back while feasting on Jake Delhomme and the Carolina Panthers last week. More important, the league's best shutdown cornerback, Darrelle Revis, is about to take his top weapon Owens. Granted, old T.O has been great lately, but the list of excellent wide receivers that Revis has already rendered ineffective this season is legendary. Add in the fact that New York seems to have finally figured out a way to remedy it's pass rushing woes and that means that Fitzpatrick is almost certainly going to be pressured constantly. He has already thrown seven interceptions in limited playing time. This isn't going to end well and, when the dust clears, you're not going to be able to get anything for his services afterwards.
Don't wait for that to happen. Expel Fitzpatrick from your roster now if you have him.
Justin Forsett- Running Back- Seattle Seahawks
You just love to read about those success stories the NFL seems to regular churn out every year, don't you? Take Forsett, for example: Here's a guy who was a seventh round draft pick, is barely 190 lbs. playing against monsters and yet he has carved out a spot for himself. He has turned in two excellent performances for the savvy fantasy owner who figured out first that he would be getting the carries in the Seattle backfield after starter Julius Jones went down. He has broken the 100 yard mark twice in three games and hauled in 13 passes and scored four times in that time period. While everyone is busy picking him up, hoping that the good times continue to roll, you ought to be divesting yourself of him for the best offer you can get.
There are two excellent reasons behind this rationale. For one thing, Jones is set to return to action and, despite Forsett's excellence these past few weeks, will assert himself into the offensive gameplan. Expect an almost even timeshare between the tow, dampening Forsett's value considerably. Also, it's unfortunate but Forsett doesn't get to play Arizona's and St. Louis' run defenses every week. He simply won't get the number of opportunities he has been getting to be able to perform like he has been.
Sometimes, you just have to be thankful the good times happened at all and say goodbye.
Mark Clayton- Wide Receiver- Baltimore Ravens
Don't you hate that guy in your office (or wherever you work) who is consistently mediocre at his job and yet has that one good moment where he actually does something right and then the boss points to him as a symbol of success that you should be attempting to emulate? You just want to scream, point out to the boss that this guy is lucky that he can find his way to work every day and he just happened to perform well this one time. That's exactly how I feel about Mark Clayton and it never fails to amuse me when I see his name appear in the "Add" column of the leagues I play in whenever he has his one or two good games every season.
Prior to Sunday's "breakout" game where he caught seven passes for 129 yards, he had accumulated a grand total of 25 catches for 328 yards through the rest of the season. Even worse than that, he had three games where he was practically invisible, notching a single reception in all of them. An owner could go crazy trying to figure out which two games in a given year he may actually show up to play in. If he happens to be on your roster for some bizarre reason ( try not to do your roster transactions after a night of hard drinking), then get rid of him now and let someone else chase the dream.
We've already seen his best this season.
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